Estrada vs. Orucuta Fight Preview

INGLEWOOD, Calif. -- In recent years some of the most excited fight cards on HBO have been their "SuperFly" cards.  Fans are expecting more of the same when the network televises the third installment, dubbed "SuperFly 3" on Sept. 8.  Headlining the card will be Juan Francisco Estrada (36-3, 25 KOs) and Felipe Orucuta (36-4, 30 KOs) in a bout scheduled to go 12 rounds as a WBC junior bantamweight title eliminator. 

Estrada catching Srisaket Sor Rungvisai with an uppercut
Estrada is a quick-fisted fighter who works our of the orthodox stance.  He puts his combinations together nicely and is skilled with both hands.  Behind a sharp jab Estrada loves to attack the body with his strong left hook and often goes upstairs with a stiff straight right hand.  He is at his best when he is letting his punches fly and pushing the pace.  Defensively Estrada can definitely be hit but he has always shown a good chin and has only been dropped once in his 10-year career.  That strong chin will be important come Saturday night because Orucuta can crack. 

Estrada, who goes by the nickname 'El Gallo,' has routinely fought the best.  He has been in the ring with top fighters like Roman 'Chocolatito' Gonzalez, Brian Viloria, Giovani Segura, Hernan 'Tyson' Marquez, Carlos Cuadras, and Srisaket Sor Rungvisai and he usually comes out on top.  In his most recent fight Estrada dropped a majority decision to Rungvisai, but a win over Orucuta on Saturday could get him the rematch that almost happened before Rungvisai had to pull out of the fight due to personal issues.   

Orucuta is 32 years old and fights out of the orthodox stance.  He has shown very impressive power throughout his 12-year career, although that power hasn't been quite as impressive when he steps up to face the top guys in his division.  Orucuta will have a noticeable size advantage against Estrada but he will also have the much slower hands.  He has a measuring stick jab that he uses to find the distance for a thudding left hook he will bring to the body and upstairs.  The Mexican veteran also has a heavy right hand but he can be lazy with his punches and when he sticks his jab he often leaves it low.  His punches also tend to be wide and he really loads up on everything he throws. 

Orucuta exchanging blows with Omar Narvaez
The resume of Orucuta definitely isn't as impressive as Estrada's, but he has had a few big fights in his career.  The two biggest both came against Omar Narvaez in junior bantamweight title fights and Orucuta lost both of those fights on the cards, although each fight was close.  Orucuta last lost to Jose Cayteno in 2015 and has gone 5-0 with five knockouts since.  However, those five fights came against much lesser opponents than Estrada, who represents a big step up for Orucuta.

Unless Orucuta can really make Estrada feel his power early he could be in for a long night.  Orucuta needs to use his size and strength to slow Estrada down early so he really needs to focus on attacking hos body in the early rounds.  As long as Estrada can avoid his opponent's power he should be able to frustrate him with his speed and movement.  Expect Estrada to be the much busier fighter and to connect at a higher percentage.  However, if Orucuta can bang the body early he could slow Estrada down enough to make it an exciting fight late.

PREDICTION: While Felipe Orucuta has power, he doesn't have much else.  Juan Francisco Estrada should be able to control the action in this fight with his superior speed and as long as he can avoid too much punishment he will get the clear unanimous decision win. 

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