Showtime Extreme Quick Pick

Their first fight ended very quickly
Juan Manuel Lopez vs. Daniel Ponce De Leon II: Saturday night is being headlined by a fight on Showtime between Danny Garcia and Mauricio Herrera but the action will start on Showtime Extreme.  The fight that will air before regular Showtime card starts is a bout between Juan Manuel Lopez (33-3, 30 KO) and Daniel Ponce De Leon (45-5, 35 KO) and is scheduled to go 10 rounds in the junior lightweight division.  The fight will be a rematch of their 2008 bout which Lopez won by 1st round knockout after dropping Ponce De Leon twice and will also once again renew the best rivalry in boxing, Puerto Rico vs. Mexico.  Three years ago Lopez was considered one of the best fighters in the sport, that was until he ran into Orlando Salido who stopped him in the 5th round of their fight and gave Lopez his first loss.  Lopez has lost twice since then, being stopped by Salido again and then losing to Mikey Garcia by 4th round stoppage.  Lopez's fight against Garcia was the last time he was in the ring and he will look to rebound against Ponce De Leon who also has some high profile losses.  Ponce De Leon has five losses and they have come against the likes of Abner Mares, Yuriorkis Gamboa, and Adrien Broner.  Both fighters have above average power but Lopez's power is unreal.  Out of his 33 wins only 3 went the distance.  What makes him so dangerous is the fact that he carries so much power in both hands and goes equally well to the head and body.  Unfortunately Lopez also has a very weak chin with all of his losses coming from being stopped.  Lopez should be extra agressive against Ponce De Leon since he knocked him out in the 1st round of their previous fight.  If Lopez can't dispatch Ponce De Leon early look for him to pick his spots to get inside and land a powerful attack.  Ponce De Leon is also a powerful fighter who happens to have a questionable chin.  Ponce De Leon will probably try to get inside where he can smother some of the power of Lopez and land an attack of his own.  His hands aren't as fast as Lopez so fighting on the inside would be better for him.  If this fight takes place in the center of the ring the superior hand speed of Lopez should be able to outpoint Ponce De Leon.  This fight will bring a ton of excitment because either fighter could score a knockout at any moment.  If the fight gets into the later rounds I think it favors the warrior Ponce De Leon however I don't think it will go that far.  I'm expecting Lopez to be able to stick and move early on, land some power in the middle rounds, and ultimately stop Ponce De Leon in the 7th round.       

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